How to read a match
- Strong / Likely / Possible match
- how confident the AI matching is that the market predicts the same outcome as Ubik's forecast.
- YES / NO prices
- the market's own prices, as the platform shows them. They are not Ubik's probability.
- Opposite side
- if Ubik is right, the market resolves NO.
- Covers one case
- the market is one part of Ubik's forecast (for example "25 bps hike" when Ubik asks about any hike).
- Broader
- the market can also resolve YES in situations where Ubik is wrong (for example a later deadline).
- Related market
- same topic, but the market can resolve differently from Ubik's forecast.
- Ubik first
- the market opened after Ubik published the forecast.